Showers end Friday morning; nicer weekend but a severe risk Monday
Monday likely year's warmest day so far; severe storms possible
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April showers have been a thing this month.
Our latest ducky, puddle-prone system pulls out of Minnesota gradually Friday morning. Overall rainfall totals will range from around one-quarter to 1 inch in some locations across southern Minnesota.
On the map below, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administrations’ FV3 low cloud output shows plenty of sun Friday in western Minnesota with gradual clearing in the east by late afternoon.
Drought eases in SE Minnesota
There's good news in this week’s drought conditions update for Minnesota. The drought area in southeastern Minnesota has been erased by 2 to 5 inches of rain this month. There’s still ongoing drought in much of western and northern Minnesota.
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The weekend looks sunny on Saturday with more clouds and a slight chance for a shower Sunday. Highs both days will be mostly in the 60s.
Severe risk Monday
Monday will feel more like late June than late April. We may see our first 80-degree highs from the Twin Cities southwestward.
A potent low-pressure system will pump a more humid Gulf air mass north and dew points will climb through the sticky 60s.
Forecast models vary on storm timing and coverage for Monday, but two waves of storms are possible with one in the early morning and another developing late afternoon and evening.
The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model suggest multiple storm waves with the afternoon wave developing over or south of the Twin Cities by 7 p.m. Monday:
The risk for large hail, damaging winds, and even tornadoes Monday is there with the highest across southern Minnesota and Iowa.
Stay tuned for possible severe weather watches and warnings next Monday.