Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Let it blow, then let it snow! Breezy Thursday, snowstorm Saturday

Sunday looks quiet and chilly

Probability of seeing greater than 4 inches of snow Saturday
Probability of seeing greater than 4 inches of snow Saturday
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Weather Prediction Center

Very breezy westerly winds will continue to howl across the state on Thursday, with wind advisories still in effect until Thursday evening. After a quiet Friday, our focus shifts to the weekend as a winter storm watch takes effect Friday night.

Gusty Thursday afternoon

Blowing and drifting snow from Wednesday night’s system can still be seen on traffic cameras around the state. Reported gusts across the state range from 35 to 45 mph, with westerly gusts possibly exceeding 50 mph this afternoon.

Here’s a sampling of recorded wind speeds:

  • Twin Cities, 26 mph, gust 45 mph

  • Park Rapids, 18 mph, gust 37 mph

  • Walker, 20 mph, gust 35 mph

  • Duluth, 26 mph, gust 44 mph

  • Alexandria, 26 mph, gust 45 mph

  • Hutchinson, 32 mph, gust 43 mph

Low temperatures Thursday night will dip into the chilly single digits, both above and below zero, with wind chills ranging from single digits below zero in southern Minnesota to teens below zero up north.

Lows for Thursday night
Lows for Thursday night
National Weather Service

Winds will blow into Thursday evening, diminishing quite a bit by Friday morning.

Winds speed and direction Thursday afternoon until 5 a.m. Friday
Winds speed and direction Thursday afternoon until 5 a.m. Friday
NOAA, via College of DuPage weather lab

Friday features a quiet, partly sunny day with temperatures reaching near-normal highs.

Highs for Friday
Highs for Friday
National Weather Service

Weekend snowfall

As our next weather system moves onshore, we will start acquiring more weather data, which in turn will help narrow down the forecast totals.

At this point, the probability of receiving more than 4 inches of snow is greater than 80 percent across central Minnesota, including the Twin Cities, based on the NOAA Weather Prediction Center’s probabilistic precipitation guidance.

Probability of seeing greater than 4 inches of snow Saturday
Probability of seeing greater than 4 inches of snow Saturday
NOAA Weather Prediction Center

Additionally, the chance of receiving more than 6 inches of snow ranges from 50 to 70 percent.

Probability of seeing more than 6 inches of snow on Saturday
Probability of seeing more than 6 inches of snow on Saturday
NOAA Weather Prediction Center

One of the computer models, NOAA’s High-Resolution Rapid Refresh model shows accumulations greater than 6 inches for the Twin Cities area.

Snowfall potential from Rapid Refresh RAP model
High-Resolution Rapid Refresh model potential snowfall
NOAA, via College of DuPage weather lab

What we know for sure is that a low-pressure system will emerge from the Rockies, heading toward the Ohio River Valley. This fast-moving system will affect Minnesota from late Friday night until Saturday afternoon.

High pressure will settle in by Saturday night, bringing a quiet but chilly Sunday.

Forecast precipitation Friday night through Saturday night
Forecast precipitation Friday night through Saturday night
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather