Rain at times Sunday; wintry mix late Sun. night in northeastern Minn.

Pesky clouds will stay with us much of today. Southern and west-central Minnesota have the best chance of showers Sunday morning, then the rain coverage expands northward Sunday afternoon, with rain in many areas Sunday evening. There is also a chance of thunderstorms Sunday afternoon and evening.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s High Resolution Rapid Refresh forecast model shows the potential precipitation pattern from noon Sunday to 5 a.m. Monday:

Colder air wraps into the circulation later Sunday night, creating a wintry mix in parts of northern Minnesota.

A winter weather advisory (blue) runs from 1 a.m. Monday 1 p.m. Monday in a portion of northeastern Minnesota:

Here are details of the winter weather advisory:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Duluth MN 227 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024 MNZ012-021-290000- /O.NEW.KDLH.WW.Y.0017.240429T0600Z-240429T1800Z/ Northern Cook and Lake-Southern Cook- Including the cities of Isabella and Grand Marais 227 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM CDT MONDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch and snow accumulations of up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Northern Cook and Lake and Southern Cook Counties. This includes the Tribal Lands of the Grand Portage Reservation. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 1 PM CDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions on the Gunflint Trail. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Main concern is across the higher terrain of the North Shore. Not expecting ice accumulations on Highway 61 or locales adjacent to Lake Superior. The Gunflint Trail should be impacted though. Road temperatures may be warm enough to limit ice accumulations.

A wind advisory runs from 4 p.m. Sunday to 10 a.m. Monday in Carlton County and far southern St. Louis County, and from 4 p.m. Sunday to 4 p.m. Monday for areas of Lake County and Cook County along and near the North Shore of Lake Superior.

Here are details of the wind advisory:

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Duluth MN 217 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024 MNZ020-021-282300- /O.CON.KDLH.WI.Y.0005.240428T2100Z-240429T2100Z/ Southern Lake-Southern Cook- Including the cities of Grand Marais, Two Harbors, and Silver Bay 217 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM CDT MONDAY... * WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Southern Cook and Southern Lake Counties. This includes the Tribal Lands of the Grand Portage Reservation. * WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 4 PM CDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

There’s a gale warning posted for Lake Superior that begins at 1 p.m. Sunday and continues to 4 p.m. Monday.

Updates will be posted by the Duluth NWS office.

Severe weather outlook

The updated severe weather outlook from the NWS Storm Prediction Center removes the marginal risk of severe weather from Minnesota Sunday and Sunday night:

A few non-severe thunderstorms are possible in Minnesota and western Wisconsin later this afternoon and Sunday evening.

Here are the severe weather risk categories that are used by the Storm Prediction Center:

You can hear updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the MPR News network. 

Cool temps

The average Twin Cities high temperature is 62 degrees on April 28. Metro area highs will be closer to 50 degrees Sunday afternoon.

Many areas will have Sunday highs in the 40s, with some 50s in far northwestern Minnesota and in parts of the far south:

Update

A new Updraft will be posted around 10:40 a.m. today. It’ll include a look at the week ahead.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:39 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.