Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Weekend warmth lingers into Monday; flakes possible Tuesday

Warm start to March

Southerly winds will increase Saturday afternoon. There will be enough sunshine to deliver highs in the 40s to much of Minnesota. West-central and southwestern Minnesota will see a lot of 50s.

The average Twin Cities high temperature is 32 degrees on Feb. 24. Metro area highs are expected to reach the mid 40s Saturday afternoon.

Sunday high temps will be in the 40s in much of the southern half of Minnesota, with 50s in the southwest:

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Sunday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Much of northern Minnesota will have highs in the 30s.

Monday high temps reach the 60s in most of the southern half of Minnesota, with 50s across much of the northern half of Minnesota:

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Monday forecast highs
National Weather Service

A cold front moves through Minnesota on Tuesday.

Twin Cities metro area highs are projected to be around 40 degrees on Tuesday, followed by mid 20s on Wednesday then lower 40s Thursday and lower 50s on Friday.

Warmer than normal temperatures are expected next weekend and through the first week of March. Here’s the March 2 through March 8 temperature outlook from the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center:

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Temperature outlook March 2 through March 8
NWS Climate Prediction Center

Precipitation chances

Parts of northern Minnesota could see a passing sprinkle or flurry Saturday night. A few scattered flurries are possible in northern Minnesota Sunday morning, with a passing sprinkle possible anywhere in Minnesota and western Wisconsin Sunday afternoon.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s High-Resolution Rapid Refresh forecast model shows the potential precipitation pattern from noon Saturday to 2 a.m. Sunday:

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HRRR simulated radar from 7 a.m. Sunday to 2 a.m. Monday
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

NOAA’s North American Mesoscale Forecast System model shows much less precipitation in Minnesota Sunday and Sunday evening:

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NAM simulated radar from 7 a.m. Sunday to 2 a.m. Monday
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

Forecast models show some periods of snow in Minnesota and western Wisconsin Tuesday and Tuesday night. The Twin Cities metro area could see a rain/snow mix early Tuesday afternoon, followed by periods of snow later Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night.

You can hear updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the MPR News network

Weather nugget

February 2024 is the tenth consecutive warmer than normal month in the Twin Cities. The most recent cooler than normal month in the Twin Cities was April of 2023.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:39 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.