Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

A cold but seasonable Monday followed by more warm weather, potential Christmas storm

While chilly, Monday’s temperatures are closer to normal for this time of year

FCST
Twin Cities area forecast through Thursday
National Weather Service

Blustery winds will keep it feeling chilly Monday with near-normal high temperatures, mostly in the 20s. The mild weather is back Tuesday into the weekend with possible rain and snow for Christmas. 

Briefly chilly then warmer again

Sunday night’s cold front brought not just gusty winds but also a little fresh snow for northeastern Minnesota. Several spots saw about 1 inch of fresh snow. 

snow totals
Snowfall totals from overnight Sunday night
National Weather Service

While it feels chilly Monday, temperatures are actually closer to normal for the season. Morning lows were actually still slightly above normal.

The winds will continue to make it feel colder through the day, but those winds are decreasing into the afternoon. By midafternoon, winds speeds will be between 10-15 mph. 

3p MON wind
Forecast wind speeds by 3 p.m. Monday
National Weather Service

Afternoon highs will be mostly in the 20s across the state, which is near normal for Dec. 18.

mon hi 9
Forecast highs Monday
National Weather Service

We’ll have lots of sunshine through the day as well. Overnight temperatures will drop into the teens and even single digits in northeastern Minnesota. 

MON NT
Forecast lows Monday night
National Weather Service

Temperatures are already quickly warming back up Tuesday and for the rest of the week right into the Christmas holiday. 

FCST
Twin Cities area forecast through Thursday
National Weather Service

Potential record warmth with rain and snow for Christmas 

Record temperatures are forecast for Christmas Eve. The record high in the Twin Cities is 46 and about half of the computer models are forecasting readings higher.

Xmas Eve
Forecast highs for Christmas Eve (Sunday) show a potentially record-breaking for the Twin Cities (record is 46).
National Weather Service

The abundance and scope of milder air means the next large storm system, developing for late in the weekend and into early next week, will be a forecasting headache. It’s a week away so the models differ on timing and precipitation type and even on whether it will come in one wave or multiple waves of moisture.

Either way, it looks like it will at least start as rain for southern and eastern Minnesota. But there’s the potential for snow in the state as well if cold air is nearby. 

EUR v GFS
Data comparing the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Global Forecast System forecasts for early next week's storm.
NOAA, ECMRWF, via Pivotal Weather