Cooler temps this week; Flake chances highest in northern Minnesota

Temps rebound later in the week

Our Sunday weather was sun-splashed and pleasant.

The Sunday high temp at Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport was 44 degrees. That’s just 3 degrees shy of the average Twin Cities high on March 26.

Southeastern Minnesota and much of western Wisconsin had Sunday highs in the 40s. There were a lot of 30s elsewhere in Minnesota, with some 20s in far western Minnesota.

Similar highs are on tap for Monday.

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Monday highs will range from 20s in northwestern and west-central Minnesota to lower 40s in the Twin Cities metro area, southeastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin:

Monday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Tuesday highs will be in the 20s in roughly the northern half of Minnesota, with 30s to the south:

Tuesday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Twin Cities metro area highs are projected to be in the lower 30s on Wednesday, followed by lower 40s Thursday and Friday.

The Twin Cities average high temperature is 50 degrees on April 1. We could be dealing with below-normal temps this coming weekend and into the start of the following week, according to the NWS Climate Prediction Center:

Temperature outlook April 1 through April 5
NWS Climate Prediction Center

Flake chances

Parts of northern Minnesota and northwestern Wisconsin could see occasional light snow showers or flurries on Monday. There might also be a passing sprinkle.

Northern and central Minnesota will have a chance of light snow on Tuesday. That chance of light snow expands southward to include the Twin Cities metro area Tuesday night.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale (NAM) forecast model shows the potential precipitation pattern from 9 a.m. Tuesday to 11 p.m. Tuesday:

Simulated radar from 9 a.m. Tuesday to 11 p.m. Tuesday
NOAA, via

You can find updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the MPR News network, and on the MPR News live weather blog.

The Twin Cities metro area will have a chance of snow showers or a rain/snow mix early on Thursday, with the potential for some periods of rain Thursday afternoon into Friday. Some forecast models also show the possibility of snowflakes or a rain/snow mix Friday night.

Check forecast updates later this week, since parts of Minnesota and Wisconsin could see accumulating snow Thursday night into Friday and Friday night.

Spring flood outlook sources

There’s plenty of water in our snowpack, which has raised concerns about flooding this spring:

Water in our snowpack (updated March 25)
National Weather Service

The timing of our snowmelt, plus additional rainfall and snowfall amounts will have a big effect on the severity of spring flooding.

The spring flood outlook for northeastern Minnesota and northwestern Wisconsin can be found here.

Flood outlook updates for central and southern Minnesota plus western Wisconsin can be found here.

Info on flood outlooks for eastern North Dakota and northwestern Minnesota can be found here.

You will be able to track river levels here.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:39 p.m. Saturday and Sunday.