Warm and humid with thunderstorms possible

Thunderstorms rolled through Minnesota in the overnight and early morning hours. Locations in far southern Minnesota will continue to see some thunderstorm activity into the early afternoon.

In the Twin Cities, we expect some periods of showers until about midday, then a chance of a shower or thunderstorm this afternoon and evening.

Strong to severe thunderstorms could develop over northern, western and central Minnesota later today and tonight.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale Forecast System shows thunderstorms development later today and tonight:

The final few frames in the loop show another batch of strong thunderstorms developing late Monday.

Severe risk

The Storm Prediction Center of the National Weather Service shows an enhanced risk of severe weather today and tonight for northwestern Minnesota, and a slight risk for much of northern and central Minnesota. There is a marginal risk of severe weather today and tonight for the Twin Cities:

Here are the risk categories that are use by the Storm Prediction Center:

The Storm Prediction Center shows a slight risk of severe weather Monday and Monday night for Minnesota and western Wisconsin:

An unusually strong low pressure system to our northwest will drive a cold front through Minnesota Monday night:

Ahead of the cold front, strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible over Minnesota and western Wisconsin late Monday and Monday night.

Warm and humid

Dew point temperatures in the mid to upper 60s will be common this afternoon, and highs will warm into the 80s over much of Minnesota:

Some spots in southwestern Minnesota could reach the lower 90s.

On Monday, dew point temperatures are expected to reach the lower 70s over much of Minnesota. High temperatures could touch 90 in many parts of central and southern Minnesota tomorrow.

Heavy rain

Some west-central Minnesota counties were experiencing drought conditions last week, according to the U.S. drought monitor:

Wilkin county was among the areas experiencing drought.

Storms last night brought heavy rain to that area, including this report:

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND

633 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...

..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....

..REMARKS..

,

0632 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 SE BRECKENRIDGE       46.23N 96.54W

07/10/2016  M3.91 INCH       WILKIN             MN   CO-OP OBSERVER

That is just under 4 inches of rain near Breckenridge!

Some localized flooding was reported in southern Wilkin county this Sunday morning.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates at 7:35 a.m. and 4:35 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday on Minnesota Public Radio.