Sunday shower chance highest to the south

Fall color update for leaf-peepers

This post will be updated around 10:15 a.m. with a look at the week ahead.

We have some changes in our weekend weather. We’ll have more clouds Sunday than we had Saturday, and some of us will also get some rain.

Shower possibilities

A low-pressure system will track across northern Missouri Sunday, spinning moisture northward. The steadiest rains are expected to fall in Iowa, northern Illinois and parts of southern Wisconsin through Sunday evening.

Far southern Minnesota will see periods of showers Sunday, especially along and south of Interstate 90. It looks like scattered afternoon/evening showers could spread a bit northward from that main rain area.

West-central Minnesota could also see some showers at times. Parts of northeastern Minnesota might see a bit of drizzle.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale (NAM) forecast model model shows the potential rain pattern into Sunday evening:

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NAM model simulated radar into Sunday evening
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

NOAA’s High-Resolution Rapid Refresh model shows a similar rain pattern for Sunday:

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HRRR model simulated radar Sunday and Sunday evening
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

You can hear updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the Minnesota Public Radio News network, and you can see updated weather info on the MPR News live weather blog.

Temps and winds

Sunday highs will range from the 40s to lower 50s:

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Sunday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Sunday will be breezy, with afternoon gusts of 20 mph or higher in some locations:

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Sunday 1 p.m. forecast wind gusts
National Weather Service

Plotted wind forecasts are in knots, with 18 knots equal to 20.7 mph.

Fall color update

The latest fall color report from the Minnesota Department of Natural Resources shows colors past peak in the dark-red shaded areas of Minnesota:

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Saturday fall colors
Minnesota Department of Natural Resources

The percentage of changeover to fall colors is between 75 percent and 100 percent in the medium-red shaded areas, including much of the Twin Cities metro area and portions of southeastern Minnesota.

Keep in mind that all deciduous trees are included in the fall color report, not just maples.

Wisconsin fall color info can be found here.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:39 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.

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