Minnesota's 3rd warmest meteorological summer on record

Rainfall is nearly 6 inches below average since June 1

July weather statistics
July weather statistics
Twin Cities National Weather Service

The steamy summer of ‘21 continues to bend the record books.

The first two-thirds of meteorological summer (June-August) is behind us, and this summer is the third warmest on record for Minnesota so far.

Here are some key data points for summer 2021:

  • Third warmest meteorological summer on record for Minnesota through July

  • June was 7.1 degrees warmer than average in the Twin Cities

  • July was 1.7 degrees warmer than average in the Twin Cities

  • Summer overall is about 4.4 degrees warmer than average in the Twin Cities

  • July rainfall was 0.87 inches at Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport

  • Rainfall deficit is -5.84 inches at MSP Airport since June 1

  • In the Twin Cities, 22 of 31 days in July above normal

  • Twenty-two days of 90-degree heat so far in the Twin Cities (The 30-year average is 11 days)

Searching for rainfall

With 75 percent of Minnesota now in severe to extreme drought, rain is a precious commodity.

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Average rainfall for July is over 4 inches for Minnesota. Most of Minnesota received less than an inch of rain in July.

30-day precipitation
30-day precipitation totals
Midwest Regional Climate Center

Precipitation ran less than 50 percent of average across most of Minnesota last month.

30-day precipitation departure from average
30-day precipitation departure from average
Midwest Regional Climate Center

Forecast models suggest rain chances Thursday and again over the weekend. The European model seems encouraging, with widespread 1 inch rainfall totals by Monday and some localized 2 inch totals or more.

European model (ECMWF) precipitation output
European model (ECMWF) precipitation output through Sunday.
ECMWF via pivotal weather

We’ll keep an eye on rainfall coverage and magnitude going forward.