Cooler on Sunday; snow or a wintry mix on Monday

Chilly midweek

The Saturday high temperature at Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport was 36 degrees. That’s 7 degrees warmer than our average Feb. 15 Twin Cities high of 29 degrees. It was great to see the sunshine linger through much of the day. Sunday highs will be cooler.

Temperature trends

This is a good place to mention the wind chill advisory that runs from midnight Saturday night to 8 a.m. Sunday in parts of northwestern Minnesota:

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Wind chill advisory midnight to 8 a.m. Sunday
National Weather Service

Sunday highs reach the 20s in most of the southern half of Minnesota plus western Wisconsin, with mainly teens to the north:

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Sunday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Sunday afternoon wind chills will be in the single digits in much of Minnesota, with teens from the Twin Cities metro area into southeastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin:

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Sunday 1 p.m. forecast wind chills
National Weather Service

Far northwestern Minnesota will have afternoon wind chills below zero.

Twin Cities metro area highs are projected to reach the lower 30s on Monday, followed by chilly highs in the upper teens Tuesday and lower teens on Wednesday. Metro area highs rebound to the lower 20s Thursday and mid 30s on Friday.

Friday’s above-normal temps may continue into next weekend and the beginning of the following week. The NWS Climate Prediction Center shows a tendency for above-normal temperatures in Minnesota and Wisconsin for Feb. 21 through Feb. 25:

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Temperature outlook Feb. 21 through Feb. 25
NWS Climate Prediction Center

Precipitation chances

I’ll first mention that southwestern Minnesota may see some areas of fog and freezing fog late Saturday night into early Sunday morning.

A passing light snow shower is possible in southern Minnesota on Sunday, and northwestern Minnesota may see some snow by afternoon. That snow spreads across much of northern Minnesota and parts of Wisconsin overnight Sunday night. Periods of snow are likely across most of Minnesota and western Wisconsin on Monday. The Twin Cities metro area, southern Minnesota and western Wisconsin could also see some freezing drizzle/light freezing rain at times on Monday.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale forecast model shows the potential precipitation pattern Sunday evening through Monday evening:

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Simulated radar Sunday evening through Monday evening
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

The metro area could see between 1 and 2 inches of snow accumulation on Monday, with higher amounts possible in parts of southern Minnesota and western Wisconsin. Portions of northern Minnesota will see several inches of snow from Sunday afternoon through Monday:

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Snow potential Sunday P.M. and Monday
National Weather Service

You can hear updated weather information on the MPR network, and you’ll see updated weather info on the MPR News live weather blog.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:35 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.