Windy Saturday, with highs in the 40s; evening rain chance, then a mix overnight

A look at November snow stats

Our Saturday highs will be our mildest readings since last Saturday. Highs in the 40s are expected today across most of Minnesota and western Wisconsin. Some spots in southwestern Minnesota could top out in the lower 50s. There’ll be a few highs in the upper 30s in north-central and northeastern Minnesora. Winds will be gusty today.

Temperature trends

Highs in the 30s return to many areas on Sunday, with 40s to the southwest:

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Sunday forecast highs
National Weather Service

There’ll be a few 20s in far northern Minnesota.

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We’re expecting mostly 30s for Monday afternoon highs, with 40s southwest:

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Monday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Twin Cities metro area highs are projected to be around 40 on Monday, followed by lower 40s Tuesday and Wednesday and mid 30s Thursday and Friday.

Rain and snow potential

Rain moves into far western Minnesota late Saturday afternoon, and expands eastward Saturday evening. Rain could arrive in the Twin Cities metro area after 10 p.m. or so, but check forecast updates later this afternoon. The rain changes to a rain/snow in the metro area later in the overnight hours. The rain mixes with snow Saturday evening up north, then changes to all snow overnight in northeastern Minnesota and western WI. There could be a bit of freezing drizzle at times too. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's North American Mesoscale (NAM) forecast model shows the potential precipitation pattern Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning:

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Simulated radar Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

It’ll probably rain and snow in some areas that look dry in the NAM loop. Listen for updated weather information on the MPR network, and you’ll also see updated weather info on the MPR News live weather blog.

Light snow showers are still possible early Sunday in northeastern and southeastern Minnesota, plus western Wisconsin. Northeastern Minnesota and parts of western Wisconsin could see some one inch snow amounts overnight into early Sunday:

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Wintry mix and snow potential Saturday evening into early Sunday
National Weather Service

Note the potential for up to two inches in parts of the northeast.

November snow totals

Our long-term average for total snowfall during the month of November is 9.3 inches in the Twin Cities. We’re half-way through Nov. 2019, with 1.6 inches of snow tallied at Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport.

A look at the past 12 November snow totals in the Twin Cities shows as little as a trace of snow (Nov. 2009) to as much as 9.8 inches (Nov. 2010).

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Twin Cities monthly snow totals
NWS data, via Minnesota State Climatology Office

The November 2018 snow total at MSP airport was 4 inches.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on Minnesota Public Radio at 7:49 a.m. Thursdays and Fridays and at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:35 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.